Free MLB Pick for July 3, 2008

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Thursday’s Free Pick:

MLB

1 Unit on Phillies/Braves OVER 8 (listing Hamels and Jurrjens)

Oddsmakers have set the bar too low here and we’ll look to take advantage.  We have a couple 8 game winners on the mound tonight, but the Phillies have been swinging hot bats in this series and the Braves are due for a breakout performance at the plate.  The Over is 24-11-1 in the Phillies last 36 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150, 8-1-1 in Hamels’ last 10 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150, and  4-0 in the Phillies last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.  Te Over is also 4-1 in Jurrjens’ last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.  I like this matchup to go over the number for the 3rd straight game in this series.

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July 3, 2008

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