Illinois Purdue Free College Basketball Pick for February 20, 2010

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Saturday’s Big Plays:

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Saturday’s Free Pick:

NCAAB

1 Unit on Purdue Boilermakers -12

Bottom Line: With Purdue going after a Big Ten title, as well as campaigning for a No. 1 seed in the Big Dance, look for it to really put a whooping on the Illini today.  Purdue is a much better team now than it was when it defeated the Illini by 6 points in Champagne.  The fact of the matter is that Illinois does not play an aggressive enough defensive to cause the Boilermakers many problems.  Purdue is 8-1 ATS in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams forcing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons, beating these teams by an average score of 67.1 to 49.8.  Plus, the Illini are 4-9-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings in this matchup and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.  Lay the number.

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February 20, 2010

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