Nationals Pirates Free MLB Pick for July 31, 2009

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Friday’s Free Pick:
MLB
1 Unit on Pittsburgh Pirates +115
The Pirates are showing excellent value in the home underdog role tonight. The Pirates are a solid 26-19 at home this season while the Nats come in with a very poor 12-37 road record. Pittsburgh has won 3 of 4 meetings against the Nats this season and all have been in Washington so I expect this domination to continue in Pittsburgh tonight. While Lannan has been good for the Nats this season, the road has not been nearly as kind. He is just 3-6 away from home with an ERA of 5.51. Plus, Lannan is 0-3 against the money line when starting against Pittsburgh in his career with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.500. The Bucs should be in good hands with Ross Ohlendorf on the hill tonight as he is 6-2 with an ERA of 3.39 at home this season (8-2 against the money line in his 10 home starts). The Pirates are 5-0 in Ohlendorf’s last 5 starts as a home underdog and 5-0 in his last 5 home starts period while the Nationals are 5-15 in Lannan’s last 20 road starts and 0-5 in his last 5 starts during game 1 of a series. Bet the Bucs.

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July 31, 2009

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