Penn State Iowa Free NCAA Basketball Pick for March 7, 2009

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Saturday’s Free Pick:
NCAAB
1 Unit on Iowa -2.5
Iowa is 12-4 at home this season and I like the Hawks to bring home the bacon in their last home game of the season. Iowa has played very well down the stretch, but is has come up just short in most games. The result though, has been covered in 4 of its last 5. Penn State is coming off a highly emotional comeback win against Illinois 2 days ago and that sets the Illini up for a letdown here. Iowa will have plenty of confidence in this one since it played the Nittany Lions to a 4-point game on the road earlier this season. Iowa has won 8 of the last 9 at home in this series and is a perfect 2-0 SU and ATS at home the last 3 seasons. The key is Iowa’s tempo, which gives Penn State all sorts of problems. Penn State is just 2-11 ATS versus slow-down teams averaging 53 or less shots/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons, losing to these teams by an average score of 55.8 to 67.0. Bet Iowa.

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March 7, 2009

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