Vegas Loves TCU, But Can UNLV Slow Down The Frogs?

When TCU opened as a thirty-one point favorite (now up to thirty-five) for its upcoming game against UNLV, it is obvious that the Frogs’ success has not missed the eyes of the people who make money picking games.

On the other hand, UNLV has a lame duck coach who is not fired only because it would cost the school a few hundred thousand dollars.  Plus, would the Rebels play any better without their poor-excuse for a coach?

Many people with an interest in Mountain West Conference sports had thought that UNLV would be much improved this year.

After all, UNLV went 5-7 last year, having taken BYU to the limit and missing a bowl only by losing their final game against San Diego State.  The Rebels upset No. 15 Arizona State in Tempe and defeated Iowa State at home.

UNLV has a great quarterback in Omar Clayton.  Clayton walked on his freshman year, commuting by bus some twenty-five miles each way.

UNLV also has an excellent receiver in Ryan Wolfe, ranked No. 5 in the nation in catches per game.

Instead of building on last season, UNLV is struggling to even not to lose ground.

The Rebels cannot run the ball, cannot stop the run, and cannot stop the pass, which clearly explains why TCU is such a huge favorite.

The only reason TCU will not cover the spread in this game is if TCU coach Gary Patterson intentionally tried to not score as much as he did against Colorado State. 

Even so, Coach Patterson knows that style points matter, so I look for the Frogs to win by thirty-five plus here, covering the spread and winning with ease.

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October 30, 2009

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